Wednesday, February 23, 2011

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Failure to dissolution-election: the germ of a great North-South clash?

Photo © Sergio Bianchini
Di Rupo does not much by chance.
Yesterday he sent a message to Bart De Wever, for which elections would be the best step in petto post-Reynders. And he has yet given a reprieve over the CD & V, also in view of the French who would fixette Suffice it to allow time for internal divisions to change this party. Which, however, would make it more responsive, has nothing in common with the CVP of yesteryear.
But casually, in the case of say, a small bomb Elio di Rupo dropped by announcing that the PS would not vote for the "dissolution of the rooms" that allow one to new elections. Since the dissolution
-known to currently meets the expectations of Bart De Wever (which, in the logic "prompt elections", so the mission must Reynders scupper-has done little to help the informant) could not be done without the vote of the largest French-speaking party (26 seats out of 150).
At first glance, a clear positioning (and quite popular) about a possible return to the polls. So it's not.
It does not eat bread because if elections ultimately should be held, Di Rupo is sure to be hammered out in the field: "We said and vowed that we do not want." short, Pontius Pilate & winners down the line.
Or it would be complicated psychologically, if it turned out, as is said, that the French-speaking parties (at least those of the Olive Tree) already fairly well united on the institutional, have entered a kind of implicit pact up in the same direction: to refuse, in concert, the day may come, any dissolution.
While it might North, for different reasons, be widely regarded as the stage "reboot" necessary. Especially for the N-VA, first out of Flanders often exasperated by the weight of the "King of the PS" in the current crisis. The reasoning is that elections are the only democratic option if there really is no government that can be formed. And the extension of Leterme, it becomes really perverse and unhealthy power relationships arising from the opinion expressed by the public ... June 2010 were not those that extend indefinitely at 16 rue de la Loi.
short, there is evidence for lack of consensus on the options announcement of elections, the source of a great cleavage, the germ of a great, a huge North-South clash, which could turn an unprecedented exasperation. Part of the country wants an election and the other not, it looks a bit like the famous committee vote BHV: What in any case provide a little more death certificate of a country.
Especially since the refusal of dissolution is to say so somewhere in Flemish parties that it is for them to make concessions and that, otherwise they will not use the easy way out that bis-election would ...

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